LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - MARCH 14: Jose Delgado reacts after a split-decision victory against Andre Fili in a featherweight fight during the UFC Fight Night event at Meta APEX on March 14, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC) Noche UFC 4 happens this weekend (Sat., Sept. 12, 2026) at Desert Diamond Arena in Phoenix, Ariz., streaming live on Paramount+ (starting at 2 p.m. ET.). The main event was supposed to be Jean Silva vs. Yair Rodriguez. However, Rodriguez pulled out a few weeks ago. Stepping up on short notice is Arizona’s own Jose Delgado (details here). The co-main event for this one is the ever popular Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales. Moreno, who just lost in Mexico City, is fighting for pride and to remain relevant at Flyweight. Rounding out the main card is Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki, Manon Fiorot vs. Alexa Grasso, Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Curtis Blaydes and David Martinez vs. Dan Ige. The featured “Prelims” bout is Tim Elliott vs. Edgar Chairez (much to Chairez’s dismay). The undercard also has Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Muslim Salikhov and Yousri Belgaroui vs. Djorden Santos. As always, there’s lots to bet on this card and we’ve got odds for all the fights below: Noche UFC 4 Main Card Money Line Odds Jean Silva (-440) vs. Jose Delgado (+340) Silva surfed on the back of Arnold Allen to cap off a decision win in January. That win saw him rebound from his TKO loss to Diego Lopes a year ago (see that here). That bout headlined the last Noche UFC event. The Lopes loss killed a possible title shot for Silva, who had won his first five UFC bouts all by stoppage. He came to UFC with a decision over Kevin Vallejos on Contender Series. He was supposed to fight Yair Rodriguez here, but ‘El Pantera’ pulled out. That pullout delivered this massive opportunity into the hands of Phoenix’s own Delgado. The 28 year-old is just 4-1 in his UFC career having debuted in 2025. In July he beat Austin Bashi by unanimous decision. Before that he took a split decision over Andre Fili. And before that he lost a decision to Nathaniel Wood, though plenty of people scored that fight for him. Silva lost a lot of his aura after hitting Lopes with his best shots and then getting put down by the ones that came back. He earned back some of that swagger against Allen, but I think that fight was closer than the scorecards suggested. Delgado has been quite inconsistent in his young UFC career. I’m really tempted to pick him here, half-thinking this is a bit of a trap for Silva. But I’ve seen Delgado get rocked a few times already. He was even knocked down by Bashi, who is very much a wrestler first and foremost. Delgado seems to have a lot of the tools to be great and he’s shown some really incredible flashes of ability. Like when he lit up Connor Matthews and Hyder Amil in his first few fights. But since then, he’s struggled to really impose himself on an opponent. He had moments against Wood and Fili, but those were just moments and Fili could have easily gotten the nod in that one (as could have Bashi in their fight). I think there is a chance that a big moment like this forces Delgado to really show us what he’s got and that we see a big breakout performance from him (like that Lone’er Kavanagh win over Brandon Moreno in Mexico City). But I’m not confident enough with that to go ahead and pick him outright. The fact he’s gotten hurt on the feet is what’s stopping me the most. If Silva touches him like Bashi or Fili did, then it could be game over. We’ve also not seen much of what Delgado can do on the ground. And we know Silva is a pretty deadly finisher down there (just ask Bryce Mitchell). So, while I’m eager to see Delgado prove me wrong, I just can’t pick him here. There’s some tempting lines out there, though. Delgado +13.5 is +165. If he makes it through five rounds he’s likely not doing it with 45-50 scorecards. The round total for this one is 1.5. I think that’s a little low. Silva has only finished two UFC fights in the first round. I like the over, but so do most people. It’s only -220. I’ll go with Fight to Start Round 3 at -145 instead. Best bet: Fight To Start Round Three – Yes (-145) Brandon Moreno (+102) vs. Joseph Morales (-122) Moreno was a distant second to Lone’er Kavanagh in the main event of UFC’s Mexico City card in February. That unanimous decision loss followed his TKO loss to Tatsuro Taira in December. Those losses came after decision wins over Steve Erceg and Amir Albazi. Morales won The Ultimate Fighter in August, defeating Alibi Idiris by second round submission (see that here). He was a +365 underdog in that fight. He beat Imanol Rodriguez and Eduardo Chapolin on his TUF run. In November he submitted Matt Schnell. It’s really hard to figure out what’s going on with Moreno. He’s 32 now with a lot of miles on the clock. The wear and tear of all those five round fights might explain that, despite being barely over 30, he looked so slow and off his game against the younger Kavanagh. Kavanagh has since proven to be very good, but not the world beater he looked like against Moreno that night (he was just beaten up by Brandon Royval). There was a lot of pressure on Moreno in that fight. He was headlining in Mexico City. Kavanagh was a short notice opponent and Moreno was a big favorite. Moreno has been in big fight situations before, though. He’s got a lot of pressure on him here, too. He’s not the favorite, but he’s the big name former champ with a high ranking. And he’s a name that the Noche UFC fans want to see do well. I can’t quite put my finger on why, but I just don’t like this fight for him. And Morales is coming in with no pressure and a chance to fast track himself to being a contender at Flyweight. He won TUF as a big underdog, but I don’t know if it’s fair to say that his experience there is similar enough to what’s happening on Saturday. What I do think is fair is that Morales has shown a much improved game in his second stint in UFC. In his last two fights he’s looked like he’s really figured out what he does well at and that he’s enjoying himself in there. I hate to rely on vibes, but it just feels like Morales is the one to watch in this fight. As the great Macho Man once said, though, the cream does rise to the top. So I might be totally wrong here and Moreno might come out and show us why he’s been a perennial champ and challenger in this division for a decade. Even so, I’ll go with Morales. Best bet: Joseph Morales moneyline (-122) Tommy McMillen (-166) vs. Marwan Rahiki (+140) McMillen got to 11-0 with a bad tempered standing TKO over Alberto Montes in July (see it here). Before that he beat up Manolo Zecchini for a first round finish (see it here). That was his first fight since winning a majority decision over David Mgoyan on Contender Series. ‘Freaky’ Rahiki is also two fights removed from his Contender Series debut. In May he took an impressive first round finish over Ollie Schmid (see that here). Schmid was a late replacement for Jack Jenkins. Rahiki’s coming out party was his win over Harry Hardwick in March. That fight was stopped after Rahiki smashed Hardwick’s jaw (see it here). I’m not sold on McMillen. He’s giving me Junie Browning vibes. And, like that famous TUF washout, I think we might see him turtle up once he meets someone who hits as hard as he can. Rahiki hits as hard as he can. And he does with a lot of technique, unlike McMillen. McMillen has been successful so far because he’s happy to get hit in order to land. And he’s been able to blow away guys with less durable chins. He fights with his hands down and I think that’s a bad idea against a fast combo striker like Rahiki. McMillen got hit pretty hard by Montes in that fight. It’s easy to forget that, though, when you have McMillen landing an insane 252 sig. strikes. Montes was wounded early on in that fight and all the damage helped gas him out and led to him answering with just 56 sig. strikes of his own. I just don’t see Rahiki being that much of a sitting duck for McMillen. I think McMillen is going to miss and get hit in this fight and we’re going to see something new from him. We’re going to see him respect someone else’s ability. After Rahiki earns that respect and McMillen stops bombing forwards, I think Rahiki will be able to put together a win. I’m leaning decision for this one, since McMillen has a massive head and seems capable of brushing off a lot of damage. Since he’s the underdog, though, I’ll just pick Rahiki straight up. Best bet: Marwan Rahiki moneyline (+140) Manon Fiorot (-250) vs. Alexa Grasso (+205) Grasso is coming off her KO/submission of the year over Maycee Barber (see that here). Before that she lost to current title challenger Natalia Silva, by decision. That was her first fight against someone not named Valentina Shevchenko since 2022. Grasso famously went 1-1-1 against ‘Bullet’ after being dominated for a decision in Sphere in 2024. She lost that fight 45-50 on all scorecards. Fiorot lost to Shevchenko in May, 2025. She took two early rounds off the champ, though. Most recently Fiorot got a first round TKO over Jasmine Jasudavicius (see it here). The Shevchenko fight is Fiorot’s only loss in UFC and was her first defeat since her pro debut against Leah McCourt in 2018. It feels a little surprising to see Grasso as such a big underdog after that massive performance over Barber. But that really goes to show how hard Fiorot is to beat. She might be the Michael Page of women’s MMA. Fiorot is going to try and point fight her way out of this one, probably. And Grasso is going to need to bring the violence to stop her. If Grasso fights with her marauding style, though, will that leave her open to Fiorot’s best weapons and give Fiorot an actual shot at stopping the fight? We’re likely looking at a purely kickboxing match here. Fiorot has only completed 1.01 takedowns per 15 minutes in her UFC career. Grasso has done even fewer, with just 0.4. That might be a record for someone who has been in the promotion as long as she has. If this is pure striking, then Fiorot does deserve to be the favorite. She is the better technical striker and she doesn’t have the noticeably poor footwork that has marred a lot of Grasso’s performances. The safe bet here is Fiorot moneyline or even Fiorot by decision. I want to get crazy with this fight, though. I think there’s a finish in this one. I can see Grasso being fired up by this partisan crowd and willing herself into some big moments. That could mean trouble for Fiorot or perhaps even trouble for Grasso, if the usually cool Fiorot is able to pick a shot and land a big counter. The round total for this one is 2.5 and the under is a whopping +300. Give me that and let’s have some fun. Best bet: Under 2.5 rounds (+300) Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-205) vs. Curtis Blaydes (+170) This is Cortes-Acosta’s third fight of 2026. In January he beat up a very tired looking Derrik Lewis (see that here). Then, in May, he lost a decision to Alexander Volkov. Cortes-Acosta’s five fight 2025 saw him get finishes over Ryan Spann, Ante Delija and Shamil Gaziev. Blaydes hasn’t fought since his war at the White House with Josh Hokit, which he lost by unanimous decision (while earning a Fight of the Night award). Before that he won a split decision over Rizvan Kuniev, though I think he was very lucky to come away with that one. I can’t believe this fight hasn’t already happened. There was a time when this match-up would have produced the biggest groans from fans. However, ‘Salsa Boy’ was a lot of fun last year (especially when he pulled out the eye-patches). And Blaydes is coming off one of the wildest Heavyweight fights we’ve ever seen. So, are these two going to slug it out and give us a barn-burner? Well, no, probably not. I think Blaydes’ chaotic White House fight was due to his disdain for his opponent more than anything else. I would be very surprised if he choose to stand and bang with Cortes-Acosta. I’m not even sure if Cortes-Acosta wants that kind of fight either. I think he might be content to land leg kicks and stuff takedowns as much as he can. I think we might be heading for a return to the old way of doing things for these two and that we might be set for long periods of nothing much happening and a very dull decision that no one cares about or really remembers. If I have to pick a winner, I’ll go with Cortes-Acosta since it feels like Blaydes has lost a step lately (as seen mostly in that Kuniev ‘win’). Ultimately, though, I’m taking the over, which is set at 2.5. Best bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-140) David Martinez (-360) vs. Dan Ige (+285) Martinez improved to 14-1 with a comfortable decision over Marlon Vera in February. Before that he took a decision over Rob Font. Martinez had been booked against Umar Nurmagomedov for July, but that was scuppered to re-book both fighters with different opponents. Martinez is a former Combate Global champ and he’s now 3-0 in UFC. Ige is coming off a spinning back kick loss to Melquizael Costa in February (see that here). That made him 1-4 in his last five. The win in that bunch was an early stoppage against Sean Woodson. The losses include decisions to Lerone Murphy and Diego Lopes. Ige is now 11-10 in UFC, but he’s fought one of the strongest schedules of anyone on the roster. Martinez looked ready for the big time in his wins over Vera and Font. His pace, creativity and power all looked great against albeit aging fighters. He’s got another aging fighter this time around and one who is on the downswing, coming off the first stoppage loss of his career. I think Martinez will be far too quick for Ige and that will mean he’s able to stick and move, landing his power shots and getting out of the way before Ige can react. Martinez has a 69 percent sig. strike defense thanks to how good he is at doing just that. The leader in the weight class for sig. striking defense is Renato Moicano with 66.5 percent. Ilia Topuria has a 64.4% sig. strike defense. The only reason Martinez isn’t top of the list is because he hasn’t had the five fights needed for UFC to list him on their stat leader page. I’m going to take Martinez minus the points. The spread is pretty low at 3.5 and I think there’s a chance Martinez either hands Ige his second career stoppage loss or Martinez gets at least 30-27 in a decision win. Best bet: David Martinez-3.5 (-140) Noche UFC 4 ‘Prelims’ Under Card Odds Tim Elliott (+180) vs. Edgar Chairez (-218) Elliott dropped a decision to Steve Erceg in May. That was his first loss since losing to Muhammad Mokaev, by submission, in 2023. Between those losses he beat Sumudaerji and Kai Asakura, both by submission. Chairez looked great in his last fight, taking apart Bruno Silva for a first round submission. Before that he beat Felipe Bunes and CJ Vergara. His last loss was a decision to future champ Joshua Van at Sphere in 2024. I think this is a very tough match-up for Elliott. He’s tough as old boots, but he struggles when he doesn’t have a big grappling advantage over an opponent. A lot of that struggling happens on the feet, where he’s forced to fight if he can’t get a takedown. In the loss to Erceg he was tagged for 136 sig. strikes, with Erceg landing 53 percent of what he threw. Elliott landed a commendable 90 sig. strikes in return, but with just 34 percent accuracy. Chairez is going to be a lot better than Elliott on the feet and that’s even without his five inch reach advantage. And I don’t think Elliott has much of an advantage on the ground if he’s able to get it there. Chairez has shown he’s got some very slick grappling lately. And him being able to mix and match striking and grappling means he’s always going to be the favorite over someone who relies on one of those skills and tries to just get by with the other. Best bet: Edgar Chairez moneyline (-218) Ignacio Bahamondes (-600) vs. Muslim Salikhov (+440) Bahamondes moves up to Welterweight at this event after losing his last two at Lightweight. His most recent loss was a decision to Tofiq Musayev in March. That foul heavy (on the part of Musayev) fight netted Bahamondes a Fight of the Night award. Before that he was outclassed by Rafael Fiziev, also for a decision. He’d won his previous three fights before that, including finishes over Jalin Turner and Manuel Torres. Salikhov lost in about a minute to Uros Medic in November. He was due to get back in there, against Jake Matthews, in May, but had to pull out. Before the Medic loss Salikhov was on a three fight winning streak which included a 42 second KO over Carlos Leal (see it here) and a spinning wheel kick finish over Kenan Song (see it here). If anyone is capable of upsetting lopsided odds against a younger and much bigger opponent it’s the King of Kung Fu. However, despite how fun it is to see him uncork a spinning kick or a massive punch out of nowhere, I think it’s most likely going to be a difficult night for him on Saturday. Salikhov is 42 and that has to make him one of the oldest people on the roster at this point. Bahamondes is at his peak at 29 years-old and, for the first time, not forcing his 6’3” frame to cut down to 155 lbs. Bahamondes is going to have five inches of reach advantage in this one. That’s going to help him do what he does best; strike from the outside. And it’s going to prevent Salikhov doing what he does best, too: strike from the outside. Salikhov has been finished in two of his last five fights and, sadly, I think that happens to him again here. I’ll take the under, since Salikhov is in the top ten for shortest average fight time in the division. Best bet: Under 1.5 rounds (+110) Yousri Belgaroui (-800) vs. Djorden Santos (+550) The 6’6” Belgaroui was initially booked to fight Kelvin Gastelum on this card. That was some very strange matchmaking, which seemed quite cruel to the veteran Gastelum. Belgaroui, a former GLORY kickboxer and current sparring partner of Alex Pereira, has looked like a destroyer since coming through Contender Series. So far he has demolished Azamat Bekoev and Mansur Abdul-Malik (see it here), both men who had a lot of hype around them at the time. Santos is 1-2 in UFC after three punishing wars. His win was over Danny Barlow. The losses were to Ozzy Diaz and, most recently, Baisangur Susurkaev by technical submission (see it here). Santos is tough and he fights with a lot of heart. But I think this is a nightmare match-up for him and Belgaroui fully deserves to be the biggest favorite on the card. Belgaroui’s size, reach and power will all cause big problems for Santos, who has been very hittable during his UFC career. Santos has absorbed 331 significant strikes in his three UFC bouts. It’s commendable that he’s been able to take all those shots. But that’s not a good sign for his future. And I think Belgaroui is going to get him out of there quickly. Best bet: Under 1.5 rounds (-188) Drakkar Klose (+390) vs. Tommy Gantt (-520) It’s been over a year since Klose last fought. That was his decision win over Edson Barbosa. Before that he was obliterated by Joel Alvarez (see that here). Klose is now 10-3 in UFC with wins over Rafa Garcia, King Green and Joe Solecki (by slam — see it here). Gantt dominated Artur Minev in his first fight since Contender Series. That ended in a second round TKO (see it here), as one of his mentors — Daniel Cormier — watched on from the commentary box. Gantt is now 12-0 since transitioning over from a high level college wrestling career. Gantt looked good in his debut. Though, I don’t find his approach to MMA very exciting. And I don’t think he had an opponent that could really test him. Minev was 22 and signed right out of Fury FC on short notice. Klose should be a decent test for him. He has good wrestling and striking and has pretty good game-planning and fight IQ. He’s also only lost to good fighters with Alvarez, peak Beneil Dariush and David Teymur (whose disappearance is still kind of baffling). That being said, I think Gantt probably still wins this. Klose likes to work on the inside and in the clinch, but the younger, bigger, stronger Gantt is probably going to be hard to bully there. I think Gantt will probably be able to convert those close quarter situations into takedowns. With the moneyline being what it is, I’ll take the over, believing Klose is too tough for Gantt to run through. Best bet: Over 1.5 rounds (-160) Responsible Betting Betting on sports involves risk, so please only wager amounts you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know if struggling with gambling help can be found with the organizations listed below: USA: National Problem Gambling Helpline — Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER to receive support and learn about available services. UK: GamCare – Call 0808 8020 133 to speak to an advisor about gambling (or visit gamecare.org.uk for live chat and forum options). Canada: Visit responsiblegambling.org for resources on helplines in Canada’s various provinces and territories. Australia/New Zealand: National Gambling Helpline — Call (800) 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au. Rafa Garcia (+160) vs. Rongzhu (-192) Garcia is in the midst of a late career surge and is riding a three fight win streak over fellow vets Alexander Hernandez, Jared Gordon and Vinc Pichel. The Gordon fight ended in a TKO (see it here). Garcia is now 7-4 in UFC. Rongzhu is also on a three fight winning streak. He KO’d Victor Martinez in his last fight (see it here). Before that he got decisions over Austin Hubbard and Kody Steele. His last loss was to Chris Padilla, after a punch to the eye forced a doctor’s stoppage. There’s not much shame in that given the run Padilla is on. I think this will be a great fight. Garcia has looked amazing lately and his striking has been especially vicious. And I love watching Rongzhu fight. He’s very fun and not afraid to brawl. I’m a little surprised to see the odds this far apart on this one. I think that’s a little disrespectful to Garcia and the run he has been on. Rongzhu will have a decent reach advantage, but he likes to trade inside the pocket so I’m not too concerned with that. I’m picking Garcia for this one because I think he can match Rongzhu on the feet, but also has wrestling he can mix in more easily than Rongzhu can. Garcia has landed 3.22 takedowns per 15 mins in his career. Rongzhu has just 1.34. Best bet: Rafa Garcia moneyline (+160) Sean King (-170) vs. Jessie Rosas (+142) Everyone knows that Rosas is the little brother of Raul Rosas Jr. at this point and that he was due to fight a few weeks ago, as a short notice opponent for Miles Johns. He lost that fight due to a medical issue that may or may not have been herpes. He’s 23 and 8-1 as a pro. He’s on a three fight winning streak right now. King is 22 years-old and 6-0. He’s fought pretty much his entire career with Fury FC. He also had a long and successful amateur career going 5-0 and winning a regional belt. King seems to fight very upright and likes to do his work from range. His grappling looks pretty raw to me. Rosas appears more polished on the ground, but he also looks much more comfortable on his feet than his brother does. I have more respect for Rosas’ record than I do King’s. And I think Rosas is closer to passing the eye test as far as whether they belong at this level. Best bet: Jessie Rosas moneyline (+142) JJ Aldrich (+230) vs. Regina Tarin (-285) This is due to be Aldrich’s 18th UFC appearance. Her last fight, a robbery of a decision over Jamey-Lyn Horth, took her record in the company to 11-6. That was her second win in a row, following a decision over Andrea Lee. There was about a year of inactivity between those bouts. The 21 year-old Tarin debuted at the Mexico City card in February. On that card she took a gutsy decision win over Ernesta Kareckaite. That earned her a Fight of the Night bonus and improved her record to 8-0. She was a short notice replacement fighter at that event and came in without any exposure through Contender Series or TUF. Tarin will have some size over Aldrich and I think that’s going to prove quite significant in this fight, much of which I predict will involve the clinch and grinding along the cage. I’m not sure what kind of ceiling Tarin has, but I think she’s got enough about her to beat Aldrich who has peaked and won’t be able to match her for athleticism or creativity. Best bet: Regina Tarin moneyline (-285) Noche UFC 4 Long Shots! Here’s a couple of long shots for Saturday’s action … Jose Delgado moneyline (+330) It’s the year of the underdog. Delgado is fighting at home and with a big chance to become someone in the division. If he puts everything together I think he’s an excellent fighter. And I think Silva, while brilliant, is very capable of an off-night or doing something weird that costs him a fight. Two-fight parlay: Rafa Garcia and Marwan Rahiki (+471) Rahiki is my favorite underdog on the card. I think he’s a more technical striker than McMillen and that this will spell trouble for the brash newcomer. And I think Garcia is on a great run right now and that his versatility should have made him the favorite against a quite one-dimensional Rongzhu. Alexa Grasso to win by KO/TKO/DQ (+1800) Grasso is a big moment fighter. Every now and then she just makes something happen. We’ve seen, recently, that the events the UFC makes to capitalize on tribalism sometimes produce some epic moments. We saw Song and Medic blow the roof off arenas already this year. I feel like Grasso, albeit not on Mexican soil, might do something similar. It’s worth a shot at these odds, anyway. 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